The xG Football Club | Alex Marin Felices | Substack

The xG Football Club

Where football meets data science. Explore in-depth analyses, research papers, and innovative metrics shaping the beautiful game.

By Alex Marin Felices

· Over 3,000 subscribers

The Unfinished Revolution: Why Football Analytics Hasn't Gone Far Enough

My First Ever Conference Talk!

Apr 4•Alex Marin Felices

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Measuring the Chaos After Losing the Ball

Evaluating counterattacks, rest defense, and counter-pressing through dual machine learning models with EPV and xBG.

Jun 17•Alex Marin Felices

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TI #029: How Flow Motifs Turn Possession Into a Tactical Fingerprint for Players, Teams, and Recruitment

Timeless Insights #029

Jun 13•Alex Marin Felices

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Can xG Understand Who Takes the Shot?

Adding player identity and expert priors to expected goals modelling through counterfactual shot analysis for recruitment fit and finishing value.

Jun 11•Alex Marin Felices

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TI #028: This is How You Win World Cup Games

Timeless Insights #028

Jun 6•Alex Marin Felices

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Recent posts

What Players Are Really Available Between the Lines?

Modelling line-breaking, penetrative, and zone-exit passes with temporal graph networks.

Jun 3•Alex Marin Felices

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Monthly xG Report — May 2026

Your monthly guide to the best football analytics insights and research summaries.

May 31•Alex Marin Felices

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Can You Put a Price on Risk in Football?

Combining action value and completion probability to evaluate player decision-making more realistically.

May 28•Alex Marin Felices

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