Curve Advisor | Substack

Curve Advisor

Focusing on tail risks.

Launched 4 years ago

ClaMOUr

What an eventful week – we got the MOU signed and we got our first look at the new Fed Chair. Both went slightly better than I thought, although I…

Jun 22

War A-ha Moment

I will do a Fed preview Tuesday with @Livesquawk.

Jun 15

AI Is Not Taking Over the Newsletter

(Any Time Soon)

Jun 8

More Outs

I am flabbergasted that Trump is considering a $300B reconstruction fund.

Jun 1

Trading Rates in this War

“It's déjà vu all over again.” This is about where we were a month ago, before Trump opened his yapper, walked back all of our promises and caused a…

May 25

Outs

In poker, when you are behind on a hand, the cards left to be played that can still give you the best hand are called "outs." My central view on the War…

May 18

The Waiting Game

[Dad joke incoming]

May 11

Blockade Stumbling Block

Even though I have as little information as everyone else, I think my Iran War calls have been pretty good (if I do say so myself).

May 4

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Curve Advisor

Focusing on tail risks.