Américo's Notebook | Substack

Américo's Notebook

The world and the markets move for reasons most commentary never explains. This is an attempt to find those reasons.

Launched 2 months ago

The credibility machine

Why Warsh needed to look hawkish before he can afford to be dovish

24 mins ago•Américo

1

Já não há janelas em Portugal

Quando se fecha uma porta, dizem que se abre uma janela. Já reparaste como isso parou de ser verdade?

Jun 21•Américo

21

1

Inside the Fed’s Next Liquidity Regime

Kevin Warsh chairs his first FOMC meeting today, June 17th.

Jun 17•Américo

22

2

Most Popular

Are We Living in a Simulation? AI Just Made the Question Harder to Dismiss

Apr 25•Américo

83

3

O Herói que Destruiu Portugal

May 31•Américo

77

1

Most investors should be Bogleheads

May 17•Américo

63

1

Your Index Fund Is Their Exit Strategy

Jun 11•Américo

49

1

The Storm Was Always Coming. We Just Had to Live Through It First.

May 6•Américo

47

1

AGI = Artificial Gaslighting Intelligence (for now)

May 26•Américo

41

3

LatestTopDiscussions

Your Index Fund Is Their Exit Strategy

The PE ratios look fine. That is the problem.

Jun 11•Américo

49

1

The last SpaceX IPO brief before pricing

SpaceX is a great company, but is it worth $2 trillion?

Jun 7•Américo

22

1

O Herói que Destruiu Portugal

Como um homem do século XVIII ainda governa Portugal hoje

May 31•Américo

77

1

The lights go out when the bond market breaks

The Fed has no good options. The bond market already knows it.

May 30•Américo

28

1

AGI = Artificial Gaslighting Intelligence (for now)

Trillion dollar vibes

May 26•Américo

41

3

2

Iran deal update, Sunday, May 24th

The deal that may or may not be a deal.

May 24•Américo

14

1

Xi showed Trump trees older than the United States

Plaza Accord 2.0. Maybe.

May 21•Américo

31

1

Most investors should be Bogleheads

Index funds, compound interest, rented Lamborghinis, and why you are probably not Michael Burry.

May 17•Américo

63

1

SpaceX IPO update

The SpaceX S-1 has still not dropped and the valuation is still sitting at $2 trillion on narrative alone.

May 14•Américo

12

1

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Américo's Notebook

The world and the markets move for reasons most commentary never explains. This is an attempt to find those reasons.